Leeds United U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
46.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
10º
5º
37
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 4
LEE
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 0
STO
63%
18%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 3
LEE
68%
16%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 4
EVE
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 0
SUN
48%
21%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DER
2 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DER
6 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
NOT
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BLA
4 - 1
DER
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -3 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DER
3 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |