Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
3º
1º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
6 - 2
SOU
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LUS
5 - 1
NOT
75%
14%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 2
LUS
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 2
NOR
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DCO
2 - 5
LUS
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STC
3 - 3
AVI
25%
23%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MID
4 - 1
STC
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STC
0 - 3
SOU
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NWC
0 - 1
STC
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
POR
4 - 0
STC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |