Champions League 1/16
Global 5-3
Leeds United vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 1
LEE
32%
28%
40%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
LEE
1 - 1
LUT
81%
14%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
MAC
2 - 1
LEE
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
QPR
1 - 1
LEE
29%
29%
43%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
LEE
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SCP
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
SCP
3 - 0
ZUR
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
MFF
1 - 1
ZUR
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1973 |
ZUR
0 - 0
MFF
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
ZUR
1 - 0
AND
24%
22%
54%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |