Leeds United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
LEE
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
LEE
3 - 7
NTT
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LEE
1 - 1
WHU
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MID
0 - 2
LEE
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 0
LEE
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 1
IPS
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 2
WAT
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 0
COV
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
WAT
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 1
WAT
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |