Leeds United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
LEE
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 2
LEE
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LEE
4 - 1
NTT
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 0
LEE
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 0
IPS
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 2
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WAT
1 - 2
HUL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
WAT
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MID
2 - 1
WAT
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
IPS
0 - 3
WAT
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |