Leeds United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 0
TRA
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 2
LEE
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
WYC
0 - 1
LEE
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 1
LEE
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 1
EXE
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 2
BPO
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
NTT
2 - 4
WAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 0
WAT
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 2
WAT
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 1
DON
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |