FA Cup 1/32
Global 6-3
Leeds United vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LEE
0 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 1
LEE
16%
21%
62%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
ASV
0 - 0
LEE
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
LEE
0 - 2
LIV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1994 |
LEE
0 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
GUL
3 - 2
WAL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 1
LEE
16%
21%
62%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
WAL
1 - 0
DON
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1994 |
ROC
0 - 2
WAL
43%
27%
29%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1994 |
WAL
4 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |