Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Leeds United vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEE
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
NTT
0 - 4
LEE
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
VCF
0 - 1
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
LEE
5 - 0
WHU
57%
22%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
LEE
1 - 1
VCF
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
UJP
4 - 0
KOL
37%
23%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 2
UJP
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
UJP
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
UJP
3 - 0
EVE
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
UJP
3 - 1
VCF
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |