Leeds United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CRE
2 - 2
LEE
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
PLY
0 - 1
LEE
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LEE
3 - 0
COV
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 0
LEE
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
LEE
1 - 0
HUR
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BPO
1 - 1
SWI
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SWI
0 - 1
POS
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
COL
0 - 1
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
3 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SWI
3 - 0
HAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |