Leeds United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
BUR
0 - 3
LEE
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
LEE
0 - 1
HUR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
ASV
3 - 4
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
LEE
2 - 0
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
DER
3 - 0
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
SUN
4 - 1
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
SUN
1 - 1
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
MAC
2 - 2
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 3
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |