Leeds United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
DER
3 - 4
LEE
68%
17%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
LEE
0 - 2
SHW
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
BOL
4 - 1
LEE
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
LEE
3 - 2
OPA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEE
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1928 |
SUN
5 - 1
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
LEI
1 - 0
SUN
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 3
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
BCF
1 - 3
SUN
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
SUN
5 - 2
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |