Leeds United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1966 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
WBA
1 - 2
LEE
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
LEE
3 - 0
SHW
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1965 |
LEE
0 - 1
LIV
51%
24%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1965 |
LIV
0 - 1
LEE
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1966 |
STO
4 - 1
BPO
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1966 |
LEI
1 - 0
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1965 |
BUR
4 - 1
STO
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1965 |
STO
3 - 1
BUR
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1965 |
BPO
1 - 1
STO
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |