Leeds United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1939 |
BIR
4 - 0
LEE
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
LEE
2 - 0
ASV
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1939 |
LEE
2 - 1
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
SUN
2 - 1
LEE
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
LEE
3 - 1
MUD
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1939 |
STO
1 - 0
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
STO
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
STO
4 - 1
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
STO
2 - 2
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |