Leeds United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
LEI
2 - 2
LEE
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
LEE
0 - 0
TOT
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
LIV
4 - 3
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
LEE
2 - 4
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
SUN
4 - 2
LEE
59%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
STO
1 - 2
EVE
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
STO
0 - 1
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
MID
6 - 1
STO
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
STO
1 - 1
BIR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |