Leeds United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEE
0 - 1
BIR
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
LEE
1 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SHW
1 - 1
LEE
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LEE
1 - 0
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEE
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 2
TOT
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WHU
4 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
FUL
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EVE
3 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 0
SHW
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |