Leeds United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
LEE
0 - 1
MID
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
ASV
3 - 0
LEE
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
LIV
3 - 0
LEE
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
LEE
2 - 2
EVE
52%
25%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
BBU
1 - 0
LEE
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
QPR
3 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
COV
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 1
SHW
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1996 |
MUD
2 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |