Leeds United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1974 |
LEE
1 - 1
TOT
68%
19%
12%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1973 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEE
23%
28%
49%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
NEW
0 - 1
LEE
32%
28%
40%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1973 |
LEE
1 - 0
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1973 |
CHL
1 - 2
LEE
35%
27%
37%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1974 |
WOL
2 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1973 |
SOU
1 - 1
COV
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
SOU
1 - 1
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1973 |
SHE
4 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1973 |
SOU
2 - 0
IPS
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |