Leeds United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
ARS
5 - 0
LEE
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
LEE
1 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BBU
1 - 2
LEE
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
LEE
3 - 2
LEI
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BIR
4 - 1
LEE
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
OPA
1 - 0
MUD
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
OPA
3 - 1
BIR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
OPA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BBU
1 - 2
OPA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
OPA
1 - 0
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |