EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Leeds United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
LEE
1 - 3
QPR
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
MON
0 - 3
LEE
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
TOT
2 - 1
LEE
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEE
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
LEE
2 - 0
ASV
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
STF
0 - 1
NOT
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
NOT
1 - 0
STO
56%
24%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
NOT
2 - 0
BOU
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
BHA
1 - 0
NOT
39%
28%
32%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
NOT
0 - 2
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |