Leeds United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
CAR
3 - 0
LEE
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
LEE
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 1
SUN
25%
28%
48%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
NEL
3 - 1
LEE
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 0
NEL
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
TOT
39%
29%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
LEE
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
WBA
1 - 2
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
38%
31%
31%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |