Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
LEE
2 - 0
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
CRY
1 - 1
LEE
23%
28%
49%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
WBA
1 - 1
LEE
39%
27%
34%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
LEE
2 - 1
STO
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
LYN
0 - 6
LEE
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
NTT
1 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1969 |
MUD
1 - 1
NTT
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
NTT
2 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 1
NTT
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1969 |
NTT
0 - 0
CRY
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |