FA Cup 1/128
Global 6-3
Leeds United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
LEE
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SOU
1 - 0
LEE
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LEE
3 - 0
WAL
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
LEE
2 - 1
LEY
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MIL
3 - 1
LEE
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
3 - 1
NOR
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LEI
0 - 0
NOR
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 0
YEO
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |