Leeds United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
WBA
1 - 0
LEE
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1977 |
LEE
3 - 1
EVE
52%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1977 |
WOL
3 - 1
LEE
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
LEE
2 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEE
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIV
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
NEW
0 - 2
NTT
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1977 |
MAC
4 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
NEW
4 - 0
WOL
59%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
QPR
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |