Leeds United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
WBA
3 - 0
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 2
MUD
28%
23%
50%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 1
CHL
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
MUD
6 - 0
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
WHU
1 - 2
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 3
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WBA
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
LEI
0 - 2
NEW
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
WBA
2 - 2
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 2
PNE
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |