Leeds United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
MID
5 - 0
LEE
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
LEE
1 - 2
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1931 |
LEE
1 - 3
LEI
51%
22%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
SUN
4 - 0
LEE
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
HUR
3 - 0
LEE
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
NEW
1 - 0
SHE
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
DER
1 - 5
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1931 |
NEW
0 - 5
MID
58%
19%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
LIV
4 - 2
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
NEW
4 - 0
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |