Leeds United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
32.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
LEI
1 - 3
LEE
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEE
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 2
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 0
LEE
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1925 |
NEW
1 - 7
BBU
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
NEW
6 - 3
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
BOL
2 - 2
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |