Leeds United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
33.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEE
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
LEE
2 - 1
WHU
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
BBU
2 - 3
LEE
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 0
TOT
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
WBA
3 - 1
LEE
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
NEW
3 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 1
NEW
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
NEW
0 - 0
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |