League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Leeds United vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEE
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 0
NOR
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
LEE
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 1
TRA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 0
LEE
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEE
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CUM
2 - 0
MIL
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 1
LEY
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BRO
4 - 2
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 0
POS
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |