Leeds United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
3 - 3
OPA
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
2 - 1
VCF
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 3
LEE
11%
18%
71%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 2
SOU
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
QPR
4 - 0
LEE
16%
23%
62%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
SWA
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 0
MID
11%
16%
72%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DON
3 - 5
MID
18%
21%
61%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GAT
0 - 1
MID
10%
16%
74%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | +1 |