Leeds United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
LEI
2 - 0
LEE
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEE
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
LEE
2 - 1
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
CHL
2 - 2
LEE
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1939 |
CHA
3 - 0
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1939 |
MID
2 - 2
PNE
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
CHL
4 - 2
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
MID
3 - 0
LIV
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |