Leeds United vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEE
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LEE
0 - 1
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 1
BBU
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
EVE
4 - 0
LEE
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
LEE
2 - 2
SWI
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MUD
1 - 3
FUL
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
GLA
0 - 1
MUD
18%
22%
59%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LEE
0 - 1
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MUD
3 - 0
BIR
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
STU
2 - 1
MUD
21%
24%
56%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |