Leeds United vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1930 |
LEE
3 - 2
MAC
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1930 |
MAC
4 - 1
LEE
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEE
58%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
LEE
4 - 2
BBU
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1930 |
LEE
3 - 0
SHW
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1930 |
HUR
2 - 2
MUD
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
3 - 3
EVE
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
1 - 0
HUR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 2
SHW
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 1
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |