Leeds United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FUL
2 - 0
LEE
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LEE
2 - 2
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MUD
1 - 1
LEE
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
LEE
4 - 1
WOL
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEE
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAC
4 - 1
MUD
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
28%
26%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 3
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MUD
4 - 2
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
MAC
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |