Leeds United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEE
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
0 - 4
LEE
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NTT
0 - 0
LEE
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LEE
1 - 1
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 0
COV
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
WBA
4 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
MAC
0 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
TOT
2 - 1
MAC
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 2
BHA
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |