Leeds United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1957 |
SHW
3 - 2
LEE
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
LEE
2 - 3
PNE
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
TOT
2 - 0
LEE
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
LEE
1 - 1
WBA
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
OPA
1 - 2
LEE
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOL
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 2
LUT
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
BPO
2 - 5
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
MAC
4 - 3
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |