Leeds United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
LEE
3 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 0
LEE
65%
18%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
LEE
0 - 0
CHL
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
LEE
4 - 0
CHA
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
TOT
5 - 1
LEE
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 0
LEE
65%
18%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
LUT
3 - 2
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
TOT
3 - 2
MAC
54%
21%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |