Leeds United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 0
LEE
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
NEW
1 - 2
LEE
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
LEE
0 - 0
CHL
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEE
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
LEE
1 - 0
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
LUT
1 - 1
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
WBA
4 - 2
LUT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
LUT
2 - 1
OPA
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
NTT
1 - 0
LUT
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1958 |
LEI
4 - 1
LUT
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |