Leeds United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
MUD
5 - 0
LEE
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
LEE
4 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
LEE
2 - 1
LEI
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEE
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
BPO
3 - 0
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
LUT
3 - 1
WOL
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
LUT
2 - 0
BPO
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 0
LUT
68%
18%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1957 |
BPO
1 - 2
LUT
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
LUT
1 - 0
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |