Leeds United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEE
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
LEE
2 - 1
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
CHL
2 - 2
LEE
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
LEE
1 - 1
CHL
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
PNE
2 - 0
LEE
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
CHA
1 - 3
LIV
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
MID
3 - 0
LIV
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
4 - 1
PNE
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |