Europa League 1/32
Global 2-4
Leeds United vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
HUR
2 - 1
LEE
16%
27%
58%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
LEE
1 - 0
LIV
66%
22%
12%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 2
LEE
28%
26%
45%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
ARS
2 - 0
LEE
41%
28%
31%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
LEE
2 - 0
CRY
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 1
CER
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
KVM
2 - 2
LIE
35%
28%
36%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 2
LEE
28%
26%
45%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
LIE
2 - 0
BEE
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
KSV
3 - 1
LIE
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |