FA Cup 1/128
Global 0-1
Leeds United vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LEE
2 - 1
SWI
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 2
BCF
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
HER
0 - 0
LEE
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 3
LEE
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CUM
3 - 1
LEE
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
STO
2 - 3
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
HER
0 - 0
LEE
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
HER
2 - 1
MAN
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
HER
5 - 1
DAR
41%
29%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
POS
1 - 1
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |