Leeds United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 2
LEE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 3
LEE
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LEE
5 - 2
CRE
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
LEE
2 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LEE
2 - 2
BRO
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 3
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 1
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
MIL
2 - 0
HAR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
HAR
0 - 3
LEI
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
POS
1 - 2
HAR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |