Leeds United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
HUR
1 - 0
LEE
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 1
LEE
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
LEE
4 - 1
ASV
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
ARS
4 - 0
LEE
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1929 |
LEE
0 - 1
BIR
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
DER
2 - 1
EVE
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 1
LEE
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
LIV
0 - 3
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1929 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1929 |
EVE
3 - 3
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |