Leeds United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LEE
0 - 2
IPS
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
ROT
0 - 2
LEE
26%
25%
48%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
QPR
0 - 1
LEE
31%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
SHW
1 - 0
LEE
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
LEE
3 - 3
BHA
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SHE
2 - 1
DER
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DER
2 - 2
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
DER
1 - 1
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 1
DER
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
DER
1 - 2
WAT
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |