Leeds United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEE
69%
18%
12%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
LEE
3 - 3
CHA
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
BOL
4 - 1
LEE
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LEE
1 - 2
OPA
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
ARS
5 - 0
LEE
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
WIM
1 - 0
DER
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
DER
2 - 0
MIL
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 0
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DER
5 - 1
PNE
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
DER
3 - 2
BRA
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |