Leeds United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
BPO
5 - 2
LEE
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
LEE
0 - 2
LEI
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
WOL
1 - 1
LEE
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
LEE
4 - 4
EVE
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 2
LEE
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1938 |
DER
3 - 2
CHA
66%
18%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1938 |
WBA
4 - 2
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1938 |
DER
0 - 0
BIR
72%
16%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1938 |
MID
4 - 2
DER
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 3
DER
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |