Leeds United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEE
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1937 |
LEE
3 - 1
WBA
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
WBA
3 - 0
LEE
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
LEE
1 - 1
SHW
51%
22%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
PNE
1 - 0
LEE
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
DER
4 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1937 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
DER
3 - 3
HUR
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
GRI
3 - 4
DER
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
DER
5 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |