EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Leeds United vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
COV
2 - 1
LEE
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
LEE
0 - 4
MUD
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
BBU
0 - 1
LEE
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1996 |
LEE
1 - 0
WIM
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
LEE
0 - 2
SHW
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
DAR
1 - 0
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
DAR
3 - 1
WIG
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
LEY
0 - 0
DAR
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
ROT
0 - 1
DAR
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
DON
3 - 2
DAR
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |