Leeds United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
LEE
2 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
LEE
2 - 2
BRO
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
LEE
4 - 0
CRY
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
YEO
1 - 1
LEE
26%
28%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
LEE
0 - 2
OLD
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
CRE
3 - 0
MAC
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
CRE
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
CRE
2 - 1
BRI
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CRE
2 - 1
WAL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CUM
4 - 2
CRE
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |