Leeds United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEE
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LEE
0 - 0
PLY
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
HUL
1 - 0
LEE
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LEE
0 - 0
STO
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CRY
2 - 2
CRE
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 0
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
QPR
1 - 2
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
PNE
1 - 0
CRE
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |